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International Journal of Public Opinion Research Advance Access originally published online on March 9, 2007
International Journal of Public Opinion Research 2007 19(2):237-246; doi:10.1093/ijpor/edl031
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© The Author 2007. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The World Association for Public Opinion Research. All rights reserved.

Response Privacy and Elapsed Time Since Election Day as Determinants for Vote Overreporting

Volker Stocké

Address correspondence to Volker Stocké, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, ‘Rationality Concepts Decision Making and Economic Modeling’, University of Mannheim, D-68131 Mannheim, Germany. vstocke@rumms.uni-mannheim.de

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

Research about the determinants of electoral participation mainly relies on survey respondents’ self-reported voting. However, studies with individual-level validation data from the USA (Presser & Traugott, 1992), from Sweden (Granberg & Holmberg, 1991) and the UK (Swaddle & Heath, 1989) have shown strong response bias, practically only in the direction that respondents answer to have voted when in fact they have not. This leads to a systematic overestimation of electoral turnout, and has been shown to bias results about the determinants of political participation as well (Bernstein, Chadha, & Montjoy, 2001; Cassel, 2003). It is firstly prohibitively costly for political participation research, and often impossible because of data-protection laws, to solely rely on data that have been validated in voting registers. Secondly, validation data have been shown to be prone to a considerable degree of error as well. For example, in a revalidation . . . [Full Text of this Article]


   DETERMINANTS OF VOTE OVERREPORTING
 
MEMORY FAILURE
SOCIAL DESIRABILITY BIAS

   SAMPLE AND METHOD
 
ELAPSED TIME SINCE THE ELECTION
RESPONSE PRIVACY
CRITERION FOR THE STRENGTH OF VOTE OVERREPORTING

   RESULTS
 
SELF-REPORTS ABOUT ELECTORAL PARTICIPATION
EFFECTS OF TIME DISTANCE ON OVERESTIMATION OF ELECTORAL TURNOUT
EFFECTS OF RESPONSE PRIVACY

   SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION
 

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