International Journal of Public Opinion Research Advance Access originally published online on September 9, 2005
International Journal of Public Opinion Research 2006 18(3):351-363; doi:10.1093/ijpor/edh102
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International Journal of Public Opinion Research Vol. 18 No. 3 © The Author 2005. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The World Association for Public Opinion Research. All rights reserved.
A Survey of South Africa Ten Years into the New Democracy
Elizabeth Hamel is the Associate Director for Public Opinion and Media Research, Kaiser Family Foundation.
Mollyann Brodie is Vice President and Director for Public Opinion and Media Research, Kaiser Family Foundation.
Richard Morin is Director of Polling for The Washington Post.
Address correspondence to Elizabeth Hamel, Kaiser Family Foundation, 2400 Sand Hill Road, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA, e-mail: lhamel@kff.org
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
Ten years after the fall of apartheid and the birth of a new democracy, South Africans went to the polls on April 15, 2004 for their third national election. During the past ten years, the people of South Africa have witnessed dramatic changes in their government, and, as a result, in their daily lives. The Washington Post, the Kaiser Family Foundation, and Harvard University conducted a nationally representative survey of South Africans just a few months before the April election, in order to shed light on South Africans attitudes towards and experiences with democracy, their level of trust in leaders and institutions, and their hopes and fears for the future of South Africa. In part, the survey was a follow-up to a similar survey conducted by the Kaiser Family Foundation and Independent Newspapers just before South Africas second democratic election in 1999. The goal of both projects was to
| DATA AND METHODS |
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| DESCRIPTIVE RESULTS |
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| MULTIVARIATE RESULTS |
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VARIABLES AND METHODS
CHANGES SINCE APARTHEID
OPTIMISM/PESSIMISM
CONFIDENCE IN NATIONAL GOVERNMENT
IMPORTANCE OF KEY COMPONENTS OF DEMOCRACY
WILL SOUTH AFRICA REMAIN DEMOCRATIC?
CERTAINTY OF VOTING
| DISCUSSION |
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| CONCLUSION |
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| APPENDIX: SCALE ELEMENTS |
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CHANGES SINCE APARTHEID (CRONBACHS ALPHA: .80)
OPTIMISM (CRONBACHS ALPHA: .87)
CONFIDENCE IN NATIONAL GOVERNMENT (CRONBACHS ALPHA: .74)
IMPORTANCE OF KEY COMPONENTS OF DEMOCRACY (CRONBACHS ALPHA: .64)